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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Science and Public Policy Institute

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

» Rewriting Sunspot History

» Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR

» The Economics of Biofuels

» The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants

» Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe

» Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming

» Medieval Warm Period in Central Europe

» Growth Response of Grassland Species to Elevated C02 When Water Stressed

» Effects of Increased C02 on Herbaceous Plant Pests

» Medieval Warm Period in Northern Europe

» Loblolly Pines Defy the Progressive Nitrogen Hypothesis

» Response of Crustaceans to Ocean Warming

» Energy Inefficiencies of Biofuels

» Response of Marine Plants to Changes in Temperature

» Biofuels: The Carbon Debt They Owe

» Medieval Warm Period in Japan

» Response of Corals to Ocean Acidification

» Interactive Effects of C02 and Water Stress on the Growth of Woody Plant Species

» Biofuels: Land and Water Concerns

» Medieval Warm Period in Upper North America

» Can Plants Evolve Fast Enough to Cope with Increased Drought?

» Health Promoting Effects of Elevated C02 on Common Food Plants

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

***


» Inventory of Hide-the-Decline

» Another Porky from Mann, Williams and Fontaine

» The Original Hide-the-Decline

» Mann’s New Memorandum

» Rule N revisited

» Who Wrote EPA’s “Myths vs Facts”?

» Mannomatic smoothing: technical details

» Who wrote the EPA documents?

» Misrepresentations and the Tainted Narrative of Mann’s Complaint

» The “Discovery” of the EPA Inquiry

***
Watts Up With That?

» New paper links Arctic sea ice extent to absorption of sunlight by clouds

» Where’s our money? Greens accuse billionaire Richard Branson of not fulfilling pledges

» Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #149

» Virginia Sea Level

» Prof Bob Carter warns of unpreparedness for Global Cooling

» The Weather Channel is losing viewers to global warming and other pointless programming

» New all-time satellite-era record for Antarctic sea ice extent

» NSF says the best way to deal with a warming climate is to evolve with it

» Offshore Wind power: Even Germany Can’t get it Right

» Stanford publishes a report on the balanced use of fracking

» UN Global Warming Propaganda Campaign: Return to Perceived Success Indicates Desperation

» The big chill comes early – record winter blast hits Northern Plains

***
Global Warming News

» Rising CO2 Concentrations: No Measureable Impact on Floods, Droughts, and Storms

» MIT Study: EPA “Carbon Pollution” Rule Will Not Incentivize Investment In Carbon Capture Technology

» Model Projections Too Hot Over 55-Year Period – Study

» EPA’s 52nd Takeover of State Regulatory Program Provides Perfect Segue to New Paper on Cooperative Federalism in the Obama Age

» EPA’s Staff Recommends Lower Ozone Standard, But it Doesn’t Matter, Because EPA Has No Say

» Separation of Powers Alert: Obama Seeks Climate ‘Treaty’ without Senate Ratification

» Social Cost of Carbon: GAO Report Ignores Pro-Regulation Bias

» Increase in Reported UK Floods Due to Population Growth, Not Climate Change – Study

» KiOR News Underscores Problems With Renewable Energy Industrial Policy

» Are Fossil Fuels the Past, Renewables the Future?

***
Fox News - Climate Change Stories

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Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Global warming causing Al Gore’s predictions to melt at an alarming rate

» Faces of climate change: Maybe pictures of ‘scared scientists’ will convert deniers

» Al Gore sues Al Jazeera for fair share of Big Oil cash so he can keep saving the planet from Big Oil greed

» Horror at 30,000 feet: ‘Mr. Climate’ John Kerry forced to fly commercial after private jet problems

» Pompous, high-flying global warming alarmist John Kerry draws a red line on new farmland in Africa

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

***
C3 - Climate Cycles Change

» The Scientific Case Against The Mythical CO2 "Climate Control" Knob Is Indisputable

» The “Experts” Accelerating Global Warming 'Pause' Excuse List Hits 50

» Climate Physics Dictates That CO2-Warming Shrinks: 165 Years Later, It Approaches Zero

» Top 5 Reasons The 'Catastrophic Global Warming' Hysteria Has Failed

» Memo To GOP Elites: Stop The Climate-Liars...Crush The Dems' Hysteria With Science Facts

» NASA/GISS Provides Proof That CO2 Growth Does Not Produce Runaway, Tipping Point Global Warming

» Democrats Believe Antarctica Is Melting - Oops, Scientists Confirm South Pole Is Now Colder

» Compulsive Climate Change Obsession - A Mental Disorder Recognized Close To 150 Years Ago With No Cure In Sight Yet

» New: 'The Global Warming War' Documentary Movie: Free Access If You Move Quickly

» What Do Elections, pH Levels, Oysters, Democrat Politicians & CO2 Have in Common? Crony-Capitalism, Of Course

» It's A 97% Consensus: Accelerating Reasons For Global Warming 'Pause' Climbs To 40

» Multi-$Billion Climate Models Continue To Be Abysmal Failures; Low-Cost, Non-CO2 Model Kicks Butt

» The 'Sick-Fųck' Club: Greg Blanchette, One Very Deranged Climate Change Alarmist

» More Climate Model Failure: CO2-Based Computer Simulations Prove They Can't Predict Great Lakes' Water Levels

» Experts Now Think They Have Answer To World's Frequent Climate Changes: Oceans

***
CATO - Global Warming

» Is Obama Abusing the Constitution to Combat ISIS?

» Should Scotland Declare Its Independence?

» Ghosts of Imperialist Wars Past: China's Tourist Hot Spots Today

» Obama's Plan Has Nothing New or Strategic

» A New War Can't Fix What Ails Iraq

» No, We Shouldn’t Have Stayed in Iraq – and "History" is Not on our Side if We Go Back

» Terrifying Senate Democrats Vote to Give Political Speech Less Protection than Pornography

» An Important Court Victory for Parents and Taxpayers

» US Spy Planes Monitoring China at Close Range: Legal, But Unwise

» Nation Building Isn’t Needed to Fight ISIS

» President Obama's Delayed Action on Immigration Is Part of a Long Pattern

» The Swept-Under-the-Rug costs of the Ex-Im Bank

» Obamacare: Fewer Doctors, More Demand

» Far Too Many Black Americans Remain Separate and Unequal

» Are We Overspending on Stopping Terrorism?

» The Libertarian Case for the European Union

» How the Transatlantic Alliance Makes America Less Secure

» How Self-Driving Cars Will Enable Greater School Choice

» Hong Kong, an Aspirational Society to Emulate

» Well-Armed Turkey Aided Rise of Islamic State: Yet NATO Promises to Defend Ankara from Extremists

» SSDI Reform: A New Benefit Structure to Encourage Work by Individuals with Disabilities

» Planning for the Real Future: Self-Driving Cars

» Religious Liberty Sprouts in China

» My Turn: Court Decision a Victory for Parents, Students, Taxpayers

» SimCity Progressives

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CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

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Headlines

»‘Global Warming Was Worth It…And if we had to, we’d do it again’
»Extent of Antarctic sea ice reaches all-time record highs, scientists say
»Record Antarctic ice. Who are the deniers now?
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»Warmists: Arctic sea ice reduction is your fault, but record-high Antarctic sea ice is ‘complicated, tricky business’
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'New book by Naomi Klein claims that Virgin founder gave less than a tenth of cash promised to devel ...
»Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Expands TO NEW ALL-TIME SATELLITE-ERA RECORD!
»The big chill comes early – record winter blast hits Northern Plains
»Climate skeptics push back over new rise in carbon dioxide: Some see record high reflecting global economic gains
»Evangelical Christian Katharine Hayhoe Tells Bill Moyers Not All Christians Are Climate ‘Deniers’


Date published: Mon, 15 Sep 2014 01:49:51 +0000
Details

»Spectacular Aurora Across Scandinavia
The best photos from last night’s K=7 auroral displays are coming in from Scandinavia. Check t ...
»The Aurora Reached Arizona Last Night!
As predicted, the first of two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the sun produced some good aurora ...
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»Water Vapor Feedback and the Global Warming Pause
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»Sept. 21, NYC: The People’s Frozen Climate March?
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»September Snow in Seven States over Seven Days
Sunday update: make that eight states. Looks like September snows — not even mountain snows ...
»Explosive Eruption of Mount Tavurvur, Up Close and Personal
This is amazing video (with sound) of the recent explosive eruption of Mount Tavurvur in Papua New G ...
»At the Crossroads: Energy and Climate Policy Summit
I will be appearing at a 2-day conference called At the Crossroads: Energy and Climate Policy Summit ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for August 2014: +0.20 deg. C
The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for August, 2014 is +0.20 ...
»A Question for My Readers: Lenz’s Law, Magnetism, and Copper
This has nothing to do with climate…that I know of. I have a question for any readers who know ...


Date published: Sat, 13 Sep 2014 17:01:03 +0000
Details

»Reconciling Conflicting Climate Claims
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog At Real Science, Steven Goddard claims this is the coolest summer on re ...
»Computer Models as “Evidence”
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog The BBC has decided not to every talk to climate skeptics again, in par ...
»Another Plea to Global Warming Alarmists on the Phrase “Climate Denier”
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog Stop calling me and other skeptics “climate deniers“.  No o ...
»My Thoughts on Steven Goddard and His Fabricated Temperature Data Claim
Cross-posted from Coyote Blog. Steven Goddard of the Real Science blog has a study that claims that ...
»The Thought Experiment That First Made Me A Climate Skeptic
Please check out my Forbes post today.  Here is how it begins: Last night, the accumulated years of ...
»Explaining the Flaw in Kevin Drum’s (and Apparently Science Magazine’s) Climate Chart
Cross-Posted from Coyoteblog I won’t repeat the analysis, you need to see it here.  Here is th ...
»If You Don’t Like People Saying That Climate Science is Absurd, Stop Publishing Absurd Un-Scientific Charts
Reprinted from Coyoteblog science a “myth”.  As is usual for global warming supporters, ...
»Update On My Climate Model (Spoiler: It’s Doing a Lot Better than the Pros)
Cross posted from Coyoteblog In this post, I want to discuss my just-for-fun model of global tempera ...
»Climate Goundhog Day
I posted something like this over at my other blog but I suppose I should post it here as well.  Fol ...
»Amherst, MA Presentation, March 7
I will be rolling out version 3.0 of my presentation on climate that has already been around the Int ...


Date published: Mon, 28 Jul 2014 17:00:50 +0000
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»Leading Climate Scientist Defects: No Longer Believes in the ‘Consensus’
By James Delingpole - One of the world’s most eminent climate scientists – for several d ...
»Global Warming and Settled Science
By Andre Lofthus The AGW community would have you believe that the science in favor of AGW is settle ...
»The Tragedy of Earth Day
By Doug L. Hoffman - It is Earth Day today, a chance for all tree huggers, green activists and other ...
»Climate scientist’s emails are shielded from disclosure, Virginia Supreme Court says
By Debra Cassens Weiss - The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that a climate scientist’s emails are ...
»Global Warming’s Upside-Down Narrative
By Bjorn Lomborg - When politicians around the world tell the story of global warming, they cast it ...


Date published: Thu, 08 May 2014 20:29:04 +0000
Details

»Inventory of Hide-the-Decline
In a recent post, I reported on the diagram in Jones 1998 (Science), which pushed hide-the-decline a ...
»Another Porky from Mann, Williams and Fontaine
Jean S has spotted a highly amusing entry in Mann’s CV. The entry yields yet another porky in ...
»The Original Hide-the-Decline
In a twitter exchange among Jean S, Ronan Connolley and Tim Osborn, Ronan drew attention to an early ...
»Mann’s New Memorandum
Michael Mann’s reply brief in the Court of Appeals has been posted here. Its main points are very si ...
»Rule N revisited
PCA was also performed on certain proxy sub-networks (spatially dense regional networks of tree-ring ...
»Who Wrote EPA’s “Myths vs Facts”?
The Mann Statement of Claim prominently displayed, as one of only two quotations from the “inq ...
»Mannomatic smoothing: technical details
This post is rather technical, and it is intended mainly for the historical completeness. So unless ...
»Who wrote the EPA documents?
Jean S writes (transferred from a comment with the addition of a few headings): A question for the e ...
»Misrepresentations and the Tainted Narrative of Mann’s Complaint
In a recent post, I observed that Mann’s Statement of Claim contained a bizarre misrepresentat ...
»The “Discovery” of the EPA Inquiry
One of the essential elements in Mann’s reliance on EPA findings is his assertion that his sup ...


Date published: Mon, 15 Sep 2014 07:19:20 +0000
Details

»Tropical Trees
Going back in time to the final few years of the 20th century, Schaffer et al. (1997) grew two mango ...
»Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity
Among the many climate-alarmist fears of CO2-induced global warming is the concern that the producti ...
»Rewriting Sunspot History
In 2006, when I first made the mistake of writing publicly of my doubts about the Party Line on manm ...
»Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR
This new review is unlike the previous analysis because it focuses not only on a statistical analysi ...
»The Economics of Biofuels
Aside from rejecting biofuel expansion and use for environmental reasons (see Biofuels (Land and Wat ...
»The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants
One of the grandest of catastrophes that climate alarmists contend will result from CO2-induced glob ...
»Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe
Was there really a global Medieval Warm Period? The IPCC used to acknowledge there was; but they hav ...
»Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops
As the air's CO2 content continues to rise, nearly all plants will respond by reducing their leaf st ...
»Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming
According to the IPCC, CO2-induced global warming will be net harmful to the world's marine species. ...
»Medieval Warm Period in Central Europe
Was there really a global Medieval Warm Period? The IPCC used to acknowledge there was; but they hav ...


Date published: Mon, 15 Sep 2014 08:25:00 +0000
Details

»Is the Australian landscape in such a bad condition that we should be paying out multi-$Billions on tree planting etc?
Seeing this article – Former Governor General calls for Cabinet shakeup on land management ...
»GreenLabor Govt prudent management of $1.824Billion in Dept of Environment grants in five months run up to Sep 2013 Federal Election
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The Fairfax owned NZ Herald reports – Subs ‘sneaking in’ I read where there is an ...
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»Northern Territory failed Henbury carbon farm now in the courts
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Date published: Sun, 14 Sep 2014 03:27:35 +0000
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More Climate Deceptions And False IPCC Claims by Dr. Tim Ball

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Author Post
Denny
Sun May 08 2011, 02:42PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178


In his book True Enough: Learning to live in a Post-Fact Society, Farhad Manjoo claims:

Facts no longer matter. We simply decide how we want to see the world and then go out and find experts and evidence to back our beliefs.


I am not sure this is a modern phenomenon. There are more experts and evidence available, but people always seek confirmation of their prejudice. Expectation of a positive response is jarred when the answer is no. Consider what happens when you ask someone to pass the salt and the answer is no. At a conference of elected officials I was asked, “What is the one piece of advice you would give us?” I replied, “Stop hiring the consultants that tell you what you want to hear.” They responded with silence, so I added, “But that is not what you wanted to hear.”

The “post-fact society” is very active with environmental and climate issues. The media, which has generally abandoned the concept of fair and balanced, amplifies it. There’s a constant search for examples to buttress the idea that global warming and climate change are caused by humans. Even after evidence is proven inaccurate, inappropriate, or wrong, the idea is pushed and new ‘facts’ found. Central requirements are to blame humans for the change and imply planetary destruction will result.

A Change Of Gases

Methane (CH4) was considered a more evil greenhouse gas before CO2 dominated the climate change spotlight. Many segments of society were blamed and bullied, but none more so than cattlemen. It was a two-pronged attack: cows were producing methane that caused runaway global warming and beef was killing you with fat and cholesterol. Master of alarmism Jeremy Rifkin’s ludicrous 1994 book Beyond Beef: The Rise and Fall of the Cattle Culture combined the attacks.

Before cows took all the blame, other sources were identified each with increasing output because of human activities. A 1982 paper in Science claimed termites were increasing in number because of bush and forest clearing. However, it wasn’t long before a calculation error was exposed and the termites were forgotten. The beaver briefly replaced them. Increased wetlands caused by reduced trapping caused populations to explode. Potential sources of methane disaster, such as thawing permafrost, occur occasionally as alarmists and media perpetuate fears of environmental collapse.

Methane was the focus occasionally in the last 30 years. Reports of methane bubbling up in the Arctic Ocean have triggered a new spate of articles. Most stories are menacing by implication:

Far more of the greenhouse gas methane is seeping from seabed deposits in the Arctic shelf into the atmosphere than previously thought.


To its credit, a New Scientist article says,

The trouble is, nobody knows if the Arctic emissions are new, or indeed anything to do with global warming.


More importantly, they have no clue how much there is:

Estimates of how much is out there are vague. There could be anywhere between 500 to 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon in the hydrates and another 7.5 to 400 gigatonnes in the permafrost.


It’s not surprising, because all greenhouse gas numbers are very crude estimates for each source.

Reports of methane leaks are not new. Claims that global warming was thawing permafrost are misleading and out of context. Overall, the world has warmed since the last Ice Age, beginning 18,000 years ago. Ice melted, permafrost thawed, and sea levels rose throughout most of that time. In fact, the evidence shows the rate of all these activities have slowed in recent times.

The general trends are not smooth and punctuated by frequent sudden events. Many scientific articles report sudden large releases of methane from the ocean floor. They are part of the clathrate gun hypothesis that claims sudden releases are triggered by sea temperature increases. This is now generally rejected as an explanation for sudden past warming events.

Methane clathrates are a unique form of deposit where methane is contained within the crystal structure of water to form a solid. They occur in large deposits under the oceans and new areas are reported all the time. Many see the vast energy potential, but this only triggers concerns of environmental damage.


More IPCC Omissions and Commissions of Deception


So what is the methane story? Figure 1 shows Singers estimates of the percentage of greenhouse gases.




Figure 1: Total percentage of greenhouse gases

Methane is 0.00017% of all atmospheric gases, and only 0.36% of the total greenhouse gases. Like CO2, they have inflated the warming potential by claiming it is 20 times more effective than CO2. Despite this, it can’t be very important because Andrew Weaver, Lead Author of the IPCC chapter on computer modeling says,

[Methane] was not considered in any of the predictions at all.


That doesn’t stop the fear-mongering:

But one thing is certain: The fact it hasn’t been factored into previous global warming predictions means forecasts even as recent as the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are too conservative
.

It’s a frightening remark, but not as the author intended. If it isn’t factored in, then it means all previous estimates of greenhouse effects are wrong and the effect of other variables including CO2 are overestimated.

But the problem is even worse. They don’t know how much there is regionally, in total, or the amount of change over time. As the Royal Society notes,

Understanding the atmospheric CH4 budget remains limited by large uncertainties in the individual magnitudes and spatial–temporal variability of sources at both regional and global scales.


While the IPCC did not include methane in their computer models, they did predict a continued rise. Claims of dramatic increases of methane since 1750 parallel the false claims of increased CO2 included predictions of continued increase. But they were as wrong with these as they were with temperature predictions as Figure 2 shows.




Figure 2: Actual Methane Levels Compared to IPCC predictions (Source)

Despite this, cattlemen and all livestock producers were blamed completely without justification. It was a classic example of a post-fact belief. Only half the formula for animal-sourced methane was considered because declines in bison, elephant, and many other ruminant populations, though regrettable, were not deducted. Nothing was said about the 283 million cows in India.

Equally confusing is the fact that the rate of change of methane levels has declined over the last 24 years (Figure 3):




Figure 3: Changing methane concentrations (Source)

Exploitation of methane is a classic example of Manjoo’s thesis that facts are not important in the Post-Fact society. All the components of the pursuit of an idea at all costs are involved. Facts are chosen and distorted to promote the idea that humans are causing global warming and climate change, all potentially destroying the planet. Other facts are studiously ignored. Sadly, there is no shortage of experts to bolster the claims, and the mainstream media are too willing to amplify and spread the fear and falsity.


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